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Big Orange Slide

Monday, May 21st, 2012

Finding Forrester

March 10, 2010 by Wes Dean

Illustration by Brian Ross

Everybody loves a good Forrester Research study. But who’s got time to read them? Not to worry. We’ve got you covered with our synopses of two of this research giant’s recent reports:

1. Introducing new social technographics
Back in 2006, Forrester created its Social Technographics Ladder to classify online social behavior into six overlapping categories, from top to bottom: “Inactives. Spectators. Joiners. Collectors. Critics. Creators.” The idea being that the higher you go on the Ladder, the more user-generated content you’re contributing online.

Recently, an exponential increase in the number of rapid conversations happening on Twitter and Facebook has inspired a new rung to be added to the ladder: “Conversationalists.”

This group tweets or posts updates to their social network status at least weekly.

In terms of demographics, Conversationalists are 36% Generation Y-types (18 to 29 years old), and are the most female-skewed of all categories on the Ladder (56% are female). They’re also the most likely group to have a college degree.

The Social Technographics Ladder has proven to be effective in identifying appropriate methods to reach customers.

The next time you’re writing a creative brief, don’t forget to take a look at the new Social Technographics Ladder to help you better define your target audience as being on one of the rungs.

2. The future of online customer experience
This report examines trends in online customer behaviour and arrives at four key attributes they believe will shape the next phase of web development. To help you remember, they’ve created an acronym: “CARS.”

Customized by the end user.
Aggregated at the point of use.
Relevant to the moment.
Social as a rule, not an exception.

A good example of CARS being used to create a better online customer experience comes from Zillow.com’s iPhone app. This real estate search application covers three of CARS’ four attributes: customized, aggregated, and relevant. Users move down the street with the mobile app while it pulls prices and details of nearby homes.

Here’s how the Zillow.com example breaks down:

Customization
Allows users to filter the homes based on personal preferences, save favorites, and receive updates.

Aggregated
Uses GPS data to display a map, while also pulling pricing and house details, all delivered to your screen simultaneously.

Relevant
Due to recent economic conditions, it’s currently a buyer’s market for real estate.

The CARS acronym is a great tool to use early in the development of interactive projects. It could make the difference between users returning to a website/application, or thinking it’s not user-friendly enough and finding a competitor.

Goodby’s cab test (part 2)

March 9, 2010 by Dave Hamilton

Illustration by Colin Craig

Last week I promised to hail a cab and take our temperature via Jeff Goodby’s Cab Test.

Essentially: What are we doing that people notice and (hopefully) enjoy noticing enough so that they remember it.

Some good news, some bad…

The good news is we’re getting noticed. Budweiser commercials in particular. Bud’s NFL sponsorship and Super Bowl promotion specifically.

The bad news is, not by cab drivers.

It was actually a bartender at the House On Parliament who admitted to remembering and liking Budweiser’s NFL ads. And it was a young patron within earshot of me at the bar who chimed in on the “chick who kicks the ham” – confirming the enduring power of Bud’s Super Bowl sponsorship.

As for the cabbie responsible for delivering me to the House On Parliament? Well he articulated (passionately, I would add) that, unlike the rest of the population, he is completely impervious to the persuasion tactics employed by advertisers.

He “never buys anything based on the lies they tell on TV,” and knows that, “whatever they advertise in the paper, you can be sure they ain’t got when you get to the damn store.”

(Alas, the damage we’ve done ourselves!)

My driver did however very much like the ad where the guys jump on the moving couch like it’s a bobsled. He insisted it was a Rogers ad (it’s for Bell), and further insisted that though he likes the ad he’d never buy their phones (it’s an ad for their TV product) because he’s “a Bell guy.” (They made him sign a contract.)

So where does all this rigorously mined qualitative research leave us?

Well, as a profession near the bottom (and sinking) on the most reviled list according to a recent Gallup survey, I know of at least one cab driver who would concur.

Wall of Same

March 8, 2010 by Jon Finkelstein

Photos by Jon Finkelstein and David Chiavegato

The death of business books, blogs and articles

March 5, 2010 by David Chiavegato

Illustration by Joel Holtby

Time management is dead. Project management is dead. The MBA is dead. Conventional marketing is dead. Traditional advertising is dead. Print is dead. ebooks are dead. Commercial radio is dead. Satellite radio is dead. Network television is dead. Social media is dead. Journalism is dead.

One of the more recent posts on this site had me thinking (inadvertently) about the liberal use of “death” in the context of business blog, article and book headlines and titles. (Which is a pleasant change as my thoughts are, for the most part, exclusively focused on death alone.) The death of all of the aforementioned topics have been written about. The list of “Is dead” and “Death of” articles and books goes on and on.

So, why all the dramatic (and often wildly overstated) predictions? Well, part of the reason rests with human nature. We like simplicity. We like a straightforward narrative. But more importantly, we like change.

In fact, according Russell Poldrack, a neuroscientist and researcher at the University of Texas, the brain is “built to ignore the old and focus on the new.” The brain is wired to appreciate novelty, which, as he surmises, is important from an evolutionary standpoint, as we don’t spend all our time noticing the things in our surroundings that don’t change.

Hey, that chair is in the same place! Hey, the rug is still on the floor! Hey, nobody is still buying that whole ‘sex addiction’ thing! (Sorry – that last one was a little too Tiger-Woods-centric).

Mr. Poldrack goes on to state that novelty causes the dopamine system to be activated, which is a “gimme more” neurotransmitter (also known as the “bank fee administrator” transmitter). So, our brains literally crave change. Or in the case of “trend-watching,” impending change. Which would explain why, given the opportunity to choose between Reflections On The Evolution Of Consumer Listening Patterns versus RADIO IS DEAD, people would be inclined to read the latter.

What does it all mean?

In short, when it comes to creating a headline for an article or a title for a business book, it’s important to convey the idea that you’re about to talk about is a huuuuuuge change. Even if it means stretching the truth a bit. Or a lot. It’s all about being more “changeyoriffic,” as Mr. Poldrack put it.

Okay. Poldrack never used that word. I kind of made that word up. It sounded more novel and exciting.

Consumer: unplugged

March 4, 2010 by Keagan Wyszkowski

Illustration by Brian Ross

At the end of last summer, my friend Nick and I went deep-woods canoe camping. We packed our gear and headed for Killarney Provincial Park about 20 minutes south of Sudbury. Just two GTA guys portaging in the Canadian Shield – it was us against the wilderness and technology wasn’t invited.

It wasn’t so much that technology wasn’t welcome as it just was simply impossible because of the very NATURE (see what I did there?) of where we were. So the phones, usually our lifeline to anyone not within 20 feet of us, were left in the car for the four-day, three-night excursion.

In the end I left the park with a clearer and more relaxed state of mind than I can remember enjoying in a long, long time. But nothing could prepare me for the backlash we would encounter from friends when we got back to the car and recharged our phones.

I was inundated with over two-dozen missed calls and even more texts, and when I got home I had people looking for me on Facebook and Twitter whom I hadn’t talked to in weeks! Turns out that when you don’t share with people in your network that you’re going to disappear off the grid for a few days (a huge social gaffe on our parts in the first place), rumours like the recent ones surrounding Gordon Lightfoot’s “death” start surfacing everywhere.

Our personal “brands” live and die by the technology we’re wired into 24/7 through the radio, the web, TV, newspapers and magazines, and most of all, our cell phones. Taking a couple of days off is akin to dead air for a TV station – unthinkable.

It’s staggering when one stops to contemplate how immersed we consumers are in the gadgets and gizmos we’ve created just to stay connected to the media mainframe. And whether those means are used for entertainment, news, buying or selling, staying connected to one another, or just spreading rumours, it’s worth stepping back every once in a while to get some perspective.

But not for too long, or people might just start thinking you’re dead.

I BELIEVE . . . Canada can do better

March 3, 2010 by Randy Stein

Illustration by Joel Holtby

So, the 2010 Winter Olympics are over and Canada’s performance was lackluster to say the least. This isn’t just my opinion, pretty much everyone I talk to agrees.

No, I’m not talking about the performance of our athletes. I’m talking about Canada’s batch of Olympic advertising. It wasn’t great. In fact, in summarizing the Olympic advertising we’ve been inundated with these past couple of weeks, my initial plan was to award Gold, Silver and Bronze to those ads worthy of the podium. Unfortunately, there wasn’t a Gold to be seen. Not sure there was even a Silver.

I initially suspected that I was just being too tough a judge, so I asked around. I asked everyone I could. And mostly people outside of the industry. When asked to name a commercial that stood out to them, most people couldn’t. Or they named a commercial or campaign that stood out because it was annoying.

If there was a “winner”, it seems it’s the Coca-Cola “hockey” spot – which I agree is a great one. Hard to award it Gold, however, as it turns out that spot is eight years old (and created by our very own Bob Goulart and Dave Hamilton) and originally created for the 2002 Winter Games. Is an eight-year-old spot really the best we can do?

And while I didn’t think any one spot was worthy of Gold, I did think there were a few flashes of brilliance.

HBC’s tagline “We Were Made For This” was outstanding. Leveraging their heritage, they told us that their rich Canadian history has led them to this moment – the moment where they can design and sell the outfits for our home Olympic Games. I loved the line and the emotion it stirred. It almost made me forget they’re owned by an American. Nonetheless, the strategy and the line “We Were Made For This” stood out for me.

There were a few very nice spots for VISA (don’t love that the iconic voiceover is Morgan Freeman – an American), but nice Olympic stories, very well told.

And McDonald’s had some nice moments. Not quite the glory years when they used to leverage the wonderful line “Anything’s Possible When You Have a Dream,” but some nice moments, nonetheless.

All in all, maybe the big win was just being associated with these games. Regardless of the creative. It’ll be interesting to see how much “post-sell” the major sponsors of the games do. Because if those brands can somehow – even slightly – attach themselves to Sidney Crosby’s golden goal, or Joannie Rochette’s triumph in the face of adversity, or any of the countless stories that made us all feel so proud to be Canadian these past two weeks, maybe that’s the victory. Maybe just being attached to these games was Golden. Of course, some more memorable creative wouldn’t have hurt either.

Drifting toward predictable results

March 2, 2010 by Curtis Westman

Illustration by Colin Craig

A mote of dust floating isolated in a glass of water will move randomly in every direction, buffeted by the natural motion of its surroundings. Over time, however, those random movements will compound into a significant drift in a certain direction. Physicists study this phenomenon and call it “The Drunkard’s Walk,” but that averaged, long-term movement in a particular direction is something much more important to the marketing world: it’s a trend.

In his book The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives, Leonard Mlodinow introduces and explores this and other theories of randomness and statistics that affect our lives and then applies those theories to everyday situations.

Mlodinow demonstrates and discounts common fallacies when it comes to judging random chance. In advertising, one of the biggest quandaries is the extent to which we should rely on statistics and trends. Though it’s true that a random sampling of the population will sometimes represent the greater whole, Mlodinow references a study of preference in musical tastes that confounds the very idea of how we gather data: focus grouping.

Essentially, a team of researchers set up a microsite in which several groups of test subjects could listen to the same 40 tracks by completely unknown artists, rate them, and then read reviews and post their own. In each of these groups, the reviews and ratings could only be read by members of the same group.

Our intuition tells us that over a large enough sampling, each of the smaller communities would show the same tracks as most popular, or there would at least be a noticeable correlation among the highest rated songs. Instead, they found wildly differing results—that a track rated #1 in one community could be rated #40 in another—and they were lost as to why such an anomaly had formed.

As it turns out, the populations in their groups weren’t even following their own tastes, because songs that started out popular in certain groups tended to continue to be popular based entirely on the tastes and reviews of others. People weren’t judging, they were subconsciously following the trend.

If we had been privy to just one of those groups, however, we would have assumed a pattern and considered the top song to be just that—the song that would be most popular overall. But we would be wrong.

Anyone looking to drive consumers to their brand could consider these unpredictable, unknown variables as a setback. After all, if the future is unforeseeable and chance is inescapable, how can we be sure that we’ll be successful? Well, we can’t. But knowing that—and accepting it—is the first step to making that setback a positive result.

We shouldn’t rely too heavily on our statistics, because we must always consider the unpredictability of human nature when we consider the predictability of success. Mathematicians and physicists may try to predict the path of a particle in a fluid suspension, but a mote of dust is a mote of dust. When dealing with human trends, the future is even more uncertain.

Goodby’s cab test (part 1)

March 1, 2010 by Dave Hamilton

Illustration by Colin Craig

One of advertising’s most respected creative leaders, Jeff Goodby, has said that advertising is only great if it passes his “cab test.”

The cab test is when an ad exec gets into a taxi and the driver asks whether they’ve done any work he’s familiar with. If the answer is “No,” you’ve failed the test.

The exercise is Mr. Goodby’s call-to-arms. He’d like to see us get back to making marketing communications that are truly famous – outside the navel gazing walls of our awards show circuit.

Jeff Goodby’s a guy I look up to. His agency’s one I’ve long admired. So naturally I’m hailing a cab this afternoon to take our temperature.

I’ll share my findings here in a week. Stay tuned!